Exposome Health
A prospective exposome-wide study

Exposome Architecture ofHuman Disease and Mortality

Profiling 720 external exposome factors and 4,059 biological markers in 409,206 European-ancestry UK Biobank participants — screened against 1,055 incident diseases and mortality, then validated across non-European UK Biobank participants and an independent U.S. population (NHANES).

720 External factors
4,059 Biological markers
Lifestyle factorsn = 528
Health historyn = 85
Natural & occupational environmentn = 72
Socioeconomic factorsn = 35
Proteomen = 2,919
Physical measuresn = 419
MRI phenotypesn = 413
Metabolomen = 246
Clinical biomarkersn = 62
External exposome
720
  • Lifestyle factorsn = 528
  • Health historyn = 85
  • Natural & occupational environmentn = 72
  • Socioeconomic factorsn = 35
Biological markers
4,059
  • Proteomen = 2,919
  • Physical measuresn = 419
  • MRI phenotypesn = 413
  • Metabolomen = 246
  • Clinical biomarkersn = 62
1Discovery cohort
UK Biobank
409,206

European-ancestry participants

External exposome factors and biological markers measured at UK Biobank baseline and follow-ups.

Prospective follow-up
median 14.2 yr
20062010
Baseline assessment
2023
End of follow-up
2Health outcomes
Anatomical model of the human body
1,055incident diseases13 body systems
  • Infectious
  • Neoplasms
  • Blood & immune
  • Endocrine & metabolic
  • Mental
  • Neurological
  • Ophthalmic & otic
  • Circulatory
  • Respiratory
  • Digestive
  • Dermatological
  • Musculoskeletal
  • Genitourinary & renal
All-cause mortality
Cause-specific mortality
3Validated cohort
UK BiobankInternal validation
92,730

Non-European ancestry

  • Same cohort & protocol
  • Across-ancestry
NHANESExternal validation
59,064

US, multi-ancestry

  • Independent US cohort
  • All-cause mortality

Replications across ancestries and an independent U.S. study test the generalizability of findings.

01

Exposome-wide association study

ExWAS · discovery & validation

ExWAS of diseases and mortality

An ExWAS mapping 720 external factors and 4,059 biomarkers in relation to incident disease and mortality risk among European-ancestry participants, with findings replicated in non-European participants and an independent NHANES study.

Explore · ExWASExposome-wide association study
02

Genetic support

Mendelian randomization · colocalization

Mendelian Randomization

Genetic variantsExposuresDiseasesConfounders

Colocalization

ExposuresDiseases

Significant associations identified in ExWAS were further validated by two-sample Mendelian randomization and colocalization analyses. GWAS summary statistics were derived for external factors and biomarkers from UK Biobank, and for diseases from FinnGen.

Explore · Genetic supportMendelian randomization & colocalization
03

Trajectories

Pre-diagnostic temporal dynamics

Temporal changes of exposome

External exposures

0.70.80.91.0−16−12−8−4Time to diagnosis (years)OR

Biological markers

00.20.40.60.8−16−12−8−4Time to diagnosis (years)Z-score

Nested case-control design was adopted to construct temporal trajectories of external factors and biomarkers. In each time interval, associations for external factors were expressed as ORs, and biomarkers differences were expressed as Z-scores.

Explore · TrajectoryTrajectories of external exposome and biomarkers
04

Mediation

External exposure – biomarker – disease

Mediation analysis

External exposuresEXPOSUREBiological markersMEDIATORDiseasesOUTCOMEIndirect effectDirect effect

Structural equation modelling was used to evaluate mediation effects of biomarkers for the associations between external exposome and diseases. External factors and biomarkers measured at baseline were considered.

Explore · MediationMediation effects of biological markers
05

Modifiable exposure contribution & genetic interaction

ERS | PRS | PAF

PAFs of modifiable exposures

0501000102030DietPhysical activitySleep & othersSmoking & alcoholNatural/occupational environmentSocioeconomic factors
  • Diet
  • Physical activity
  • Sleep & others
  • Smoking & alcohol
  • Natural/occupational environment
  • Socioeconomic factors

GxE interaction

PolygenicriskPRSModifiableexposuresERS×DiseasesOUTCOME

Six categories of modifiable external factors were profiled, and ERS for each category were derived using multi-exposure models. Corresponding PAFs were estimated to quantify the contribution of modifiable exposures to each disease.

Explore · Modifiable exposuresPopulation burden attributable to modifiable exposures

Genetic modification of modifiable exposure effect was evaluated using interaction terms between ERS and PRS. The population burden of disease was decomposed into contributions from the external exposome, biomarkers, and genetic susceptibility.

Explore · Genetic interactionGenetic interaction for exposome contribution
06

Clinical application

Risk prediction · exposure–response

Disease classification & Risk prediction

Machine learning pipeline

SensitivityCovariatesBiological markersExternal exposomeAll exposome

Disease Prediction

Exposure-response curve

Hazard ratio

Lowest risk
LowExposure levelHigh

LightGBM models to predict disease and mortality risk using external exposome and biological markers.

Explore · PredictionRisk prediction and stratification

Restricted cubic spline models to identify potential thresholds and exposure ranges associated with the lowest observed disease risk.

Explore · Exposure responseExposure–response relationships
Data sources

Built on two population cohorts

UK Biobank

409,206 discovery + 92,730 internal-validation participants, profiled for external exposures & biomarkers.

NHANES

External validation — 59,064 US, multi-ancestry participants.

Explore the associations

Query every exposure–disease link interactively, filter by system, and trace the evidence from association to causal support.

Open ExWAS